Saturday, February 23, 2013

Diomedes' Official Oscar Predictions

Alright so in my opinion this is a rough year.  There are a lot of tough categories with numerous potential winners out there due to either very good competition or just weak choices.  Maximus is a beast of a critic and an excellent predictor when it comes to the Oscars.  He has a great sense of what the Academy is looking for.  If you want a solid chance of winning an Oscar ballot pool, look at Maximus' predictions.  But if you would like more of a wild card approach, take a look at what my guesses will be for 2013 below.


Best Picture
Amour
Argo
Beasts of The Southern Wild
Django Unchained
Les Miserables
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Zero Dark Thirty


Will Win: Argo
Could Win: Lincoln
Dark Horse: Zero Dark Thirty
Should Win: Argo


Ok so not a big difference from Maximus' picks but I think you may see that theme on a couple of the big awards.  I think Lincoln has a big shot at winning due to it being a Spielberg picture and Daniel Day-Lewis' excellent performance but for me I still think Argo was the best picture of the year.


Best Director
Lincoln: Steven Spielberg
Amour: Michael Haneke
Beasts of the Southern Wild: Benh Zeitlin
Life of Pi: Ang Lee
Silver Linings Playbook: David O. Russell


Will Win: Lincoln
Could Win: Silver Linings Playbook
Dark Horse: Life of Pi
Should Win: Lincoln

Spielberg.  Enough Said. 


Best Actor
Daniel Day-Lewis: Lincoln
Bradley Cooper: Silver Linings Playbook
Hugh Jackman: Les Miserables
Joaquin Phoenix: The Master
Denzel Washington: Flight


Will Win: Daniel Day-Lewis
Could Win: No one  
Dark Horse: Joaquin Phoenix
Should Win: Daniel Day-Lewis


Daniel Day-Lewis has this one hands down.  He emerged again to give an amazing performance and now we won't see him until 2015.


Best Actress
Naomi Watts: The Impossible
Jessica Chastain: Zero Dark Thirty
Jennifer Lawrence: Silver Linings Playbook
Quvenzhane Wallis: Beasts of the Southern Wild
Emmanuelle Riva: Amour


Will Win: Jessica Chastain
Could Win: Jennifer Lawrence
Dark Horse: Emmanuelle Riva
Should Win: Jessica Chastain


This is one of the toughest races this year.  Most will probably go toward Jennifer Lawrence because she did have an excellent performance in Silver Linings Playbook.  I though want to go with Jessica Chastian on this one.  She gave an excellent performance as well and I think the academy will lean towards her as she is a little more matured and has been nominated in the past.


Best Supporting Actor
Robert De Niro: Silver Linings Playbook
Alan Arkin: Argo
Phillip Seymour Hoffman: The Master
Christoph Waltz: Django Unchained
Tommy Lee Jones: Lincoln


Will Win: Phillip Seymour Hoffman
Could Win: Christoph Waltz
Dark Horse: Tommy Lee Jones


I think I may be going a little out there on this one but I feel like the Master is a movie that the academy voters love and will show that by throwing the oscar toward Hoffman.  I want to say though that any of them could win this one.  I also want to say that I felt Leo got snubbed in Django and should be here over Waltz and Cranston got snubbed in Argo and should be here over Arkin.  Both Arkin and Waltz gave very good performances but I felt Leo and Cranston were just a little better in those movies. 


Best Supporting Actress
Jacki Weaver: Silver Linings Playbook
Amy Adams: The Master
Sally Field: Lincoln
Helen Hunt: The Sessions
Anne Hathaway: Les Miserables


Will Win: Anne Hathaway
Could Win: Amy Adams
Dark Horse: Sally Field
Should Win: Anne Hathaway


I will be really disappointed if Anne Hathaway doesn't win.  I think she gave the best performance out of all of the nominees.  Her crying and showing emotion while actually singing had to be very difficult but she hit it perfectly.


Best Adapted Screenplay
Argo
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook


Will Win: Argo
Could Win: Beast of the Southern Wild
Dark Horse: Lincoln
Should Win: Argo


As Maximus said, they will want to throw an award at Lincoln but I feel Lincoln will receive many so I don't feel its a necessary to give it this award.  I think Argo will grab this award.  It got a lot of steam in a few categories for the other award shows so I think it could sneak away with this one.


Best Original Screenplay
Amour
Django Unchained
Flight
Moonrise Kingdom
Zero Dark Thirty


Will Win: Django Unchained
Could Win: Zero Dark Thirty
Dark Horse: Amour
Should Win: Django Unchained


I am rooting for Django for this one because I think it maybe the only one it wins.  I think Zero Dark Thirty has a good chance of winning this one those as again it wont be receiving many awards either.  Amour is the same way but I just don't feel Amour should be as large a part of the Oscars as it is so I'm voting it down.


Best Animated Film
Brave
Frankenweenie
ParaNorman
The Pirates! Band of Misfits
Wreck-It Ralph


Will Win: Brave
Could Win: Wreck-It Ralph
Dark Horse: Frankenweenie
Should Win: N/A


I haven't actually seen the nominees in this category this year either, but my gut says Brave because its one of those fairy tale journeys that I feel the Academy will love, as Maximus mentions in his predictions. 


Cinematography
Anna Karenina
Django Unchained
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Skyfall


Will Win: Lincoln
Could Win: Django Unchained
Dark Horse: Life of Pi
Should Win: Skyfall


I think this will be another one that goes to Lincoln.  Skyfall had beautiful scenery and and amazing photography but it is classified as a Bond movie which will discredit it in the Academy’s eyes.


Costume Design
Anna Karenina
Les Miserables
Lincoln
Mirror Mirror
Snow White and the Huntsman


Will Win: Les Miserables
Could Win: Lincoln
Dark Horse: Mirror Mirror
Should Win: Snow White and the Huntsman


I think the award will go to Les Miserables because the Academy loves time pieces and they tend to award a movie like Les Miserables for showing the times instead of a movie that has very difficult or unique costumes.


Editing
Argo
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty


Will Win: Lincoln
Could Win: Argo
Dark Horse: Zero Dark Thirty
Should Win: Argo


I think this is another Lincoln will snag.  I could be completely wrong but I think the Academy is going to continue to give Lincoln a lot of awards throughout the night.


Makeup & Hairstyling
Hitchcock
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Les Miserables


Will Win: Les Miserables
Could Win: The Hobbit
Dark Horse: Hitchcock
Should Win: The Hobbit


I think, like my partner mentions, that they give this to Les Miserables due to it being a transformation toward a time piece instead of actually looking at difficulty and time to create outcome for this category.


Music (Original Score)
Anna Karenina
Argo
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Skyfall


Will Win: Life of Pi
Could Win: Lincoln
Dark Horse: Skyfall
Should Win: Skyfall

It seems that Pi has a very good score and the Acedemy will lean that way.


Music (Original Song)
"Before My Time" Chasing Ice
"Everybody Needs a Best Friend" Ted
"Pi's Lullaby" Life of Pi
"Skyfall" Skyfall
"Suddenly" Les Miserables


Will Win: Skyfall
Could Win: Les Miserables
Dark Horse: Pi's Lullaby
Should Win: Skyfall


Adele is a beast when it comes to racking in the awards so this one will be the only Skyfall win and be the first Bond song to win this award.


Production Design
Anna Karenina
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Les Miserables
Life of Pi
Lincoln


Will Win: Lincoln
Could Win: Les Miserables
Dark Horse: Life of Pi
Should Win: Lincoln


Lincoln again will be rewarded by the Academy for this category.  As Maximus says, the CGI will probably rule out some of the other top contenders.


Sound Editing
Argo
Django Unchained
Life of Pi
Skyfall
Zero Dark Thirty


Will Win: Zero Dark Thirty
Could Win: Life of Pi
Dark Horse: Skyfall
Should Win: Zero Dark Thirty


Zero Dark Thrity is a much more serious movie than Skyfall and contains a lot of the same sounds but maybe on a different scale.  I think it wins because Skyfall has the Bond stigma which will discredit it.


Sound Mixing
Argo
Les Miserables
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Skyfall


Will Win: Les Miserables
Could Win: Argo
Dark Horse: Life of Pi
Should Win: Les Miserables


Les Miserables was all about the sound from effect noises, to singing, to fighting in the streets during singing.  I think it wins this one.


Visual Effects
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Life of Pi
Marvel's The Avengers
Prometheus
Snow White and the Huntsman


Will Win: Life of Pi
Could Win: Snow White
Dark Horse: The Avengers
Should Win: Snow White


Life of Pi is really the only choice because it is a serious movie with a lot of support and the Academy would definitely choose a movie like this over a super hero, fairy tale, alien, or fantasy film. 


Documentary Feature
5 Broken Cameras
The Gatekeepers
How to Survive a Plague
The Invisible War
Searching for Sugar Man



Will Win: Searching for Sugar Man
Could Win: How to Survive a Plague
Dark Horse: The Gatekeepers
Should Win: N/A

I agree with them choosing a more light hearted movie over the other depressing choices for this category.


Documentary Short
Inocente
Kings Point
Mondays at Racine
Open Heart
Redemption


Will Win: Open Heart
Could Win: Inocente
Dark Horse: Mondays at Racine
Should Win: Open Heart


I think Open Heart has a good chance at winning due to it dealing with young children who need heart transplants,  Inocente has a good shot to because the Academy loves chasing dreams themes.


Foreign Language Film
Amour
Kon-Tiki
No
A Royal Affair
War Witch


Will Win: Amour
Could Win: War Witch
Dark Horse: Kon-Tiki
Should Win: Amour


It was nominated for best overall picture.  If it doesn’t win than I will be utterly confused with the best picture nod…


Short Film (Animated)
Adam and Dog
Fresh Guacamole
Head over Heels
Maggie Simpson in The Longest Daycare
Paperman


Will Win: Paperman
Could Win: Maggie Simpson in the Longest Daycare
Dark Horse: Head over Heels
Should Win: Paperman


Looks like Paperman was well received and has a good shot at winning.


Short Film (Live Action)
Asad
Buzkashi Boys
Curfew
Death of a Shadow
Henry


Will Win: Curfew
Could Win: Asad
Dark Horse: Death of a Shadow
Should Win: Asad


Curfew looks to be the leader in this category but I like the idea of Asad maybe sneaking away with this one.


That’s all I got for you.  Hope Seth is a good entertainer this year!  Enjoy the Oscars as they only come and disappoint us once a year.

-Diomedes

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