With today being November 1st, it means we will start getting a good amount of Oscar movies in the next few weeks. We have seen a few already, but the heavy hitters are still to come. What follows is a breakdown of what to expect in the next few months and what we have already seen that may come into play.
-Lets start with the best picture race. This year instead of a locked ten films, the number will be somewhere between five and ten, depending on how many first place votes each film gets. Unlike the last two years, we won't get an animated film in the top ten, but a few movies already seem like locks. Already released are The Ides of March, Moneyball, and The Tree of Life. Both The Tree of Life and Ides of March looked like solid contenders, but have faded a bit since their release. Moneyball is still very much in play, and could be a contender for Picture, Actor, Screenplay, and Director. The Help was a huge fan favorite, it seems like it may be a Blind Side like sleeper that could do well when nominations are announced. Other films like Drive and 50/50 are in the mix but doubtful to actually make the cut.
-The coming weeks bring J Edgar from Clint Eastwood which should score a lot of nominations. A Dangerous Method stars Viggo Mortensen and Michael Fassbender and should score nominations in Picture, Director, Actor, Supporting Actor, and Actress. Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy comes out as well soon and may get some big awards including Best Actor for Gary Oldman.
-December should also throw a lot of nominees in the mix. David Fincher's adaptation of The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo may come up with some nominations. We also get the Matt Damon weeper We Bought A Zoo and the Angelina Jolie directed film In the Land of Blood and Honey. Steven Spielberg finally returns to directing with the WWII drama War Horse as well.
-Some other smaller films will come into the mix, some possibilities are The Artist with John Goodman, Anonymous with Rhys Ifans, Melancholia with Kiefer Sutherland, Gerard Butler in Coriolanus, and Hugo from Martin Scorsese.
-The Best Actress competition is likely already between two people, Meryl Streep in The Iron Lady and Glenn Close in Albert Nobbs, with most people feeling Streep has it locked 4 months before the awards.
-One dark horse keeps me guessing as well, remember when Lord of the Rings got snubbed two years in a row, then cleaned up the last year with Return of the King? What about Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2? It was an extremely dark and well done movie, and while the series has not always been all high points, it has a unique place in pop culture and when it was done well, it was done very well. While I doubt it wins any major awards, I don't think nominations for Best Picture, Best Actor (Daniel Radcliffe), Best Supporting Actress (Emma Watson), and Best Supporting Actors (Ralph Fiennes and Alan Rickman) are out of the question.
Comment below if you feel I left any big contenders out, as no doubt some last minute smaller films will fly under the radar until the New Year comes.
-Maximus
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